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The 68 teams have been selected. March Madness starts on Tuesday with the play-in games. The Round of 64 begins on Thursday at Noon EST.
Auburn, Duke, Florida and Houston will be the #1 seeds.
In Trends Analysis Part I I examined the importance of seeding in each round of
the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament, starting with the Round of 64. This analysis contains data through the 2024 NCAA Tournament.
In Trends Analysis Part II I examined the performance of participants in the NCAA
Tournament based on team statistical data such as field goal percentage, defensive field goal percentage, free throws,
rebounding and turnover margin. This analysis contains data through the 2024 NCAA Tournament.
Are NCAA Tournament upsets on the rise? My analysis of Upset Trends seeks to answer that question.
This analysis contains data through the 2024 NCAA Tournament.
Records by Seed, 1985-2024
| Seed | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semis | Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 154-2 | 132-22 | 103-29 | 62-41 | 39-23 | 25-14 |
| 2 | 145-11 | 99-46 | 69-30 | 32-37 | 13-19 | 5-8 |
| 3 | 133-23 | 82-51 | 40-42 | 17-23 | 11-6 | 4-7 |
| 4 | 123-33 | 74-49 | 25-49 | 15-10 | 4-11 | 2-2 |
| 5 | 101-55 | 54-47 | 12-41 | 9-3 | 4-5 | 0-4 |
| 6 | 95-61 | 45-50 | 17-28 | 3-14 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| 7 | 96-60 | 29-67 | 10-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| 8 | 75-81 | 16-59 | 9-7 | 6-3 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| 9 | 81-75 | 8-73 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-2 | |
| 10 | 60-96 | 24-36 | 9-15 | 1-8 | 0-1 | |
| 11 | 61-95 | 27-34 | 10-17 | 6-4 | 0-6 | |
| 12 | 55-101 | 22-33 | 2-20 | 0-2 | ||
| 13 | 33-123 | 6-27 | 0-7 | |||
| 14 | 23-133 | 2-21 | 0-2 | |||
| 15 | 11-145 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | ||
| 16 | 2-154 | 0-2 |
Percentage of Time Advancing Through Each Round, 1985-2024
| Seed | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semis | Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 99% | 85% | 66% | 40% | 25% | 16% |
| 2 | 93% | 64% | 44% | 21% | 8% | 3% |
| 3 | 85% | 53% | 26% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| 4 | 79% | 47% | 16% | 10% | 3% | 1% |
| 5 | 65% | 35% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 0% |
| 6 | 61% | 29% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 7 | 62% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 8 | 48% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| 9 | 52% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | 39% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | 39% | 17% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | 35% | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 13 | 21% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 14 | 15% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 16 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
